Saturday, January 19, 2013

AFC Championship Prediction - January 20, 2013

The Precision Predictions of The Day are daily Sports Betting Tips  presented by our team of experts, based on present betting lines, statistical  analysis of team standings and relevant information from injury reports to weather factors. Our Precision Predictions are the results of extensive computer generated analyses and subjective opinions of sports experts. The percentages are the winning probabilities, when all factors are considered. Unlike other Betting Tips, our daily Precision Predictions are free. Be sure to subscribe to our Blog to receive the daily sports tips!!!

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Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots

- The fans at Gillette Stadium will be treated to a game between the Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 10-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total is sitting at 52.

In their last action, Baltimore was a 38-35 winner on the road against the Broncos. They covered the 9-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (73) was profitable news for OVER bettors.

New England won its last outing, a 41-28 result against the Texans on January 13. The Patriots covered in that game as a 9.5-point favorite, while the 69 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Team records:
Baltimore: 10-6 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
New England: 12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 7-3

New England most recently:
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England

Baltimore is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games at home
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

The Pats will host a Ravens team that seem to be having a hard time winning in Foxboro. They lost 6 of the 7 games they played at New England's house. The Ravens though, are always playing the Pats close, and are suddenly an inspired team that is capable of pulling off an upset that might beat AFC's best. It's a long shot for the Ravens, but if they can keep it close until the final minutes of the 4th Q, QB Joe Flacco might just be able to throw another long prayer. It's a long shot. Precision Prediction will have to go with the computer generated analysis, Pats will win.

Precision Prediction Pick:  New England Patriots
Winning Percentages: New England79%, Baltimore 21%

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